How New Jobs Data Could Lead to RBA Interest Rate Cuts in Australia
Afr3 weeks ago
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How New Jobs Data Could Lead to RBA Interest Rate Cuts in Australia

INDUSTRY INSIGHTS
rba
interestrates
jobsdata
inflation
economy
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Summary:

  • Interest rate cuts by the RBA are now firmly in play for November and/or December

  • Latest jobs data has shifted the Reserve Bank of Australia's perspective on the economy

  • The RBA may overlook a third-quarter inflation bump if the labour market continues to loosen

  • A sustained weakening in wage pressures could prompt the central bank to ease monetary policy

RBA Rate Cuts Firmly in Play After Game-Changing Jobs Data

It’s game on for an Aussie interest rate cut – or cuts – in November and/or December.

The latest jobs data are view-changing for the Reserve Bank of Australia, which had been concerned about a hot monthly inflation print in August.

The Reserve Bank may look through a third-quarter bump in inflation if the loosening of the labour market presages a sustained weakening of wage pressures.

This development suggests that the RBA could prioritize the cooling job market over temporary inflation spikes, potentially paving the way for monetary policy easing to support the economy.

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